Bush and Kerry Neck and Neck Says Harris Poll
Thursday August 19, 4:15 pm ET
ROCHESTER, N.Y., Aug. 19 /PRNewswire/ -- The presidential election is still very close. Neither President George W. Bush nor Senator John Kerry is campaigning hard, but neither has found a way to pull ahead. In the latest Harris Poll, the two candidates are tied 47 to 47 percent among likely voters. The only Harris Poll to find either candidate to have a clear lead was in June, when a poll taken shortly after President Ronald Reagan's death reported a ten-point Bush lead. We believed (and reported) this to be a blip caused by the good feeling surrounding the memories of the popular Republican president and President Bush's success in associating himself with the public's good feelings about him.
Another indicator of how close the presidential race is now (which does not necessarily mean it will be close in November) is that President Bush's latest job ratings (48% positive, 51% negative) are worse than the equivalent ratings of recent presidents who were re-elected for a second term (Clinton, Reagan, Nixon) but better than those of his father President George H.W. Bush and President Carter, who both failed to win re-election, at this time in their campaigns for re-election.
However, in August 1976, President Gerald Ford's ratings (48% positive, 45% negative) were slightly better than President Bush's current ratings, and he went on to lose a very close election to Jimmy Carter that November.
See the rest HERE
Thursday August 19, 4:15 pm ET
ROCHESTER, N.Y., Aug. 19 /PRNewswire/ -- The presidential election is still very close. Neither President George W. Bush nor Senator John Kerry is campaigning hard, but neither has found a way to pull ahead. In the latest Harris Poll, the two candidates are tied 47 to 47 percent among likely voters. The only Harris Poll to find either candidate to have a clear lead was in June, when a poll taken shortly after President Ronald Reagan's death reported a ten-point Bush lead. We believed (and reported) this to be a blip caused by the good feeling surrounding the memories of the popular Republican president and President Bush's success in associating himself with the public's good feelings about him.
Another indicator of how close the presidential race is now (which does not necessarily mean it will be close in November) is that President Bush's latest job ratings (48% positive, 51% negative) are worse than the equivalent ratings of recent presidents who were re-elected for a second term (Clinton, Reagan, Nixon) but better than those of his father President George H.W. Bush and President Carter, who both failed to win re-election, at this time in their campaigns for re-election.
However, in August 1976, President Gerald Ford's ratings (48% positive, 45% negative) were slightly better than President Bush's current ratings, and he went on to lose a very close election to Jimmy Carter that November.
See the rest HERE
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