Also, the "definition" it gives is very narrow. It makes it abundantly clear that, except for very few specific exceptions (namely adding dependants), you CANNOT ENROLL IN ANY NEW COVERAGE, "if the first effective date of coverage is on or after the first day" of the year this bill becomes law.
You may be misunderstanding what that paragraph is saying. For the purposes of reference:
"Except as provided in this paragraph, the individual health insurance issuer offering such coverage does not enroll any individual in such coverage if the first effective date of such coverage is on or after the first day of Y1."
"This paragraph" is referring to section 102a, which is the written definition of grandfathered health insurance.
The term "such coverage" refers to grandfathered health insurance coverage. It basically is stating that the insurers cannot enroll new individuals into policies that have been grandfathered in (with a few noted exceptions). This does not prevent the insurers from issuing new coverage.
I understand that, but that new coverage is going to be subject to new mandates and regulations in this bill that will drive up the cost of those policies to a point where it is impossible for the vast majority of American's to be able to afford those plans
That is an assumption which forms the basis for the entire rest of your statement.
I understand that, but that new coverage is going to be subject to new mandates and regulations in this bill that will drive up the cost of those policies to a point where it is impossible for the vast majority of American's to be able to afford those plans (a problem which will be magnified by other negative economic consequences that will reduce the net purchasing power of all Americans), leaving the only option open to them being the public option.
JohnnyBz said:As I’ve shown above, Health insurance PROFITS for the 10 largest insurers averaged an increase of 428% from ’00 to ’07.
As I’ve shown above, insurance PREMIMUMS increased 120% over approximately the same timeframe from ’99 to ’07.
Meanwhile, Heath care EXPENDATURES by private insurance increased only 59% over the same time period (’00-’07).
http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealt...ads/tables.pdf
Another way to look at this is the Medical Loss Ratio:
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/healthcare/...ss-ratio.jhtml
(also see graph below)
http://gnunews.take88.com/medical-loss-ratio/
Quote:
Bank in the early ’90s, Potter said, “Ninety-five cents out of every dollar … was used by the insurance companies to pay claims. Last year, it was down just slightly above 80 percent.”
More: http://www.pnhp.org/news/2006/march/...ss_ratios_.php
The bottom line: Premiums increased at a FASTER rate than COSTS since the beginning of this century. Where do you think that excess revenue went? INTO THE POCKETS of the INSURERS as PROFITS.
There is no dispute that COSTS have increased, and if PREMIMUMS increased at the same rate (or less), no one would be upset. However, “increased costs” has been a convenient excuse for the insurers to jack up their profits.
What you really meant to say is that new regulations applied to new policies will drive DOWN the PROFITS to the point where the cost of private insurance will be competitive with the public option. The rest of your argument is debunked by facts I laid out here:
While your claim that more regulations will lead to higher costs, the facts do not support that. The facts are that the primary driver of increased premiums was NOT the costs of care (premiums went up twice as fast as costs, 120% vs 59%), but PROFITS (profits went up over 7 times faster than costs, 428% vs 59%).
Turns out that the swastikas are being brought by people IN FAVOR OF the healthcare bill.As usual, you people misrepresent what she was talking about. There have indeed been morons displaying Nazi symbols at these events, but it's the protesters who are accusing Democrats of being Nazis.
"Isakson vehemently opposes the House and Senate health care bills, and he played no role in drafting language added to the House bill by House Democrats calling for the government to incentivize doctors by offering them money to conduct end-of-life counseling," Isakson's office said in a statement.
None of what you say makes any economic sense (not that you are informed enough to realize that).
The profit motive actually works to keep prices down. there are a number of factors that are driving up the cost here, but the profit motive works against that.
Only through an ignorance of economics can you even think that the info you provided shows that profits are what are driving prices up..
"Profit Motive" only works to get "Profit" UP. That is done by working to decrease costs and increase income. For the heath insurance industry, that means applying pressure to expendatures to either reduce them or keep them from rising any faster than absolutely necessary, AND increasing premimums. And if they are really sneaky, they can raise premimums faster than their expendatures and guess what? MORE PROFITS! DUH!
COMPETITION is what works to keep prices down.
Your argument is that regulations that have been put on the health insurance/care industry has resulted in increase costs of care (expendatures). OK, costs have gone up 59% from '00 - '07. Fair enough.
BUT, the insurance companies, not wanting to have LOSSES, have jacked up their premimums 120% over the same timeframe. That's more than necessary to cover the increased costs, by a factor of 2x!
AT THE SAME TIME, insurers are decreasing their medical loss ratios (the percent of each premimum dollar spent on actual care). They do this by "rationing" care (YES, they've been doing that for years) and reducing coverage for certain procedures (oh the horror, these fascist insurance companies!). This provides even more margin in their bottom line.
So where does this extra income for the insurers go? Some of it goes for increased overhead to handle the increased volume of claims as population grows, and the rest goes into their pockets as PROFITS to the tune of 428% over the same timeframe premimums have increased 120% while costs have only increased 59%!
You don't know weather or not that increase in premiums is necessary to cover increased costs or not. You are comparing two numbers that are not comparable and drawing a conclusion from what, at best, can be called a coincidence with the information given.
Costs of medical procedures have gone up on average 59%. and Costs of premiums have gone up on average 120%. Those are two separate facts. You are assuming a statistically significant correlations when it is at least as likely that there is no correlation. You would have to take the data and run it through a statistical analysis to be able to empirically make the conclusions you are making.
There is the factor of state governments adding mandated coverage of certain procedures in the time frame you mentioned that is going to increase insurance costs on top of any actual increase in the cost of the procedure (which will also increase in costs due to those mandates).
In short, you are jumping to conclusions.
Question: I'm Healthy. So Why Does My Health Insurance Premiums Increase Each Year?
Toward the end of each calendar year, we begin to hear from our employers' human resources departments, or from the insurers and payers who oversee our health coverage about how much we'll have to pay for coverage the next year. Each year those premiums increase, sometimes by double-digit percentages. Why is health insurance so expensive? And why do I have to pay more every year, even if I'm healthy?
Answer:
Health insurance premiums go up because medical costs increase. Doctors need to be paid more, drugs are more expensive, testing technology gets more sophisticated and expensive, and so forth.
If we understand how health insurers determine their annual premiums, then it's easier to understand why it gets more expensive, even when we are healthy.
Proof?
Also, do you have any proof of the figures you cite? Links? Specifically the 428% figure.
It is easy to manipulate the numbers to whatever you want them to show, but do they stand up to an objective analysis.
COMPETITION is what works to keep prices down.
Profit does something else that you failed to note.
It provides the motivation to increase efficiency. Efficiency saves money and increases profits.
This is why medicare still hasn't digitized their medical records. Federal inefficiency and the lack of a profit motive.
Lifting some of the restrictions that would enable consumers to shop all 50 states for their coverage, and not limit it to just the one they lived in
Gee, that's funny, because the message the friends of the health insurance industry has been giving as the primary cause for the increases in health insurance premiums; INCREASED COSTS OF CARE:
I have no idea where that thought entered my head.
This has been the message touted at the top of the insurance industry's lungs as well as their paid GOP "supporters". The problem is, when those types of questions are answered, they never provide actual numbers to back up the claim. The reason why those numbers (120% premium increases vs 59% care cost increases) are not provided is because it would expose the LIE.
Increased premimums, and increased care costs. Two seperate issues, eh Shag? You should be embarrassed.
As I've already indicated, if you are too lazy to follow the links, I'm not going to waste my time. But since I'm such a NICE guy, I'll post the chart again where the 428% number came from (US Securities and Exchange Commission filings):
So rather than set up a government monopoly, why don't we actual REFORM things so that they create greater competition in the private sector?In the face of competition, you'd be correct that profit motive would drive innovation to increase efficiency.
Why don't you provide me with some evidence that Medicare is even competitive with the private sector.So unless you can show me how much less efficient Medicare/aid is than the private insurance industry, I'm not buying your claim.
The private insurance /care industry lacks far behind in "digitizing medical records" as well, so there's lots of room for improvement on both sides.
You start off this thread talking about the benefit of "real competition" and then you ask me to explain why increasing the amount of "real competition" and competitors would benefit the system?This sounds plausable, but you haven't yet answered my questions pertaining to how this would be better in the other thread we discussed this. The ball on this is in your court.
Not really.
Apparently unlike you, I actually know a thing or two about statistical analysis. I was commenting on the argument you had made in a previous post. Now you are injecting new information into the picture (from the FAQ link) and acting as if that info was always there when that WAS NOT ORIGINALLY PART OF YOUR ARGUMENT. That is called dishonesty.
The stats you provided still, in know way, support your conclusion. You can keep injecting other tangentially related information and it will not change that.
Calabrio said:And why are premiums increasing? What is going to be done that will prevent this from happening?
Are premiums increasing because the care is getting more expensive? Is the care getting more expensive because technology is getting better and more expensive?
JohnnyB said:Meanwhile, Heath care EXPENDATURES by private insurance increased only 59% over the same time period (’00-’07).
http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealt...ads/tables.pdf
Unless you can empirically prove a statistically significant correlation you are just spinning your wheels. However, I have no doubt that you don't know what stat to look for to prove that, let alone have any clue how to prove a statistically significant correlation. And considering you petulant, dishonest immature and flat out rude approach in this forum, I am not inclined to help you figure that one out. Good luck.
You apparently don't realize that you are misrepresenting the chart. As you worded it in post #28, that 428% figure was representative of all insurance companies. However, as the chart says, that figure is only indicative of, "10 major health insurance companies". That is a BIG difference.
Also, it doesn't say weather that is gross or net profit. Yet you assume in post #38 that the figure is after all the overhead, etc. is paid for. Basically you are assuming it is net profit. You have any rational basis for that assumption, or are you simply ignorant of basic accounting too?
JohnnyBz said:As I’ve shown above, Health insurance PROFITS for the 10 largest insurers averaged an increase of 428% from ’00 to ’07.
So rather than set up a government monopoly, why don't we actual REFORM things so that they create greater competition in the private sector?
Why don't you provide me with some evidence that Medicare is even competitive with the private sector.
And afterwards, find me some evidence that the Post Office is as competitive as Fed Ex.
Medicaid is a Cost Efficient Program
Critics of Medicaid often focus on so-called “fraud, waste and abuse” in the program. However, one study showed that fraud and abuse in Medicaid only accounted for .007% of the Medicaid budget. It is also overlooked that Medicaid is more efficient than private insurance with much lower administrative costs. Overall, Medicaid costs have risen at nearly half the rate of private insurance costs.
III. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
Our comparison of Medicare versus private health insurance administrative costs shows that Medicare does indeed have lower administrative costs as a percentage of total costs (benefits paid plus administrative costs).
Yet, Medicare program, one of the most successful social programs in the history of our nation, is in danger of being destroyed. Blame lays in large part with the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003 (MMA). Nobody can argue that a Prescription Drug benefit in Medicare was a good idea, but the structure of the benefit that was railroaded through Congress has been the subject of much debate. Unfortunately, that debate has actually distracted the public from a tiny, dangerous piece of this legislation.
Private sector leading the way-
Walmart working with DELL and software maker eClinicalWorks to launch a bundled electronic health records package for doctors:
http://www.cnsnews.com/public/content/article.aspx?RsrcID=44878
Medicare recipients may soon have online access to their personal health records (PHR). In January 2009, seniors in Utah and Arizona begin testing a computer-based pilot project that gives them more control over their healthcare docs and management.
You start off this thread talking about the benefit of "real competition" and then you ask me to explain why increasing the amount of "real competition" and competitors would benefit the system?
Quote:
Originally Posted by calabrio
And noting that this is a federalist system, individual states are certainly able to engage in bold reforms to their medical systems. It doesn't necessarily need to be undertaken by the federal government.
Don’t the individual states regulate the insurance companies and policies offered in their states NOW? How do you hope to get 50 different state governments to agree on a “standardized” process & packaging for offering insurance across state lines without some central guidance? Leaving this up to the individual states will only prolong the reform process and entangle it with more bureaucracy, incompatible systems and complexity for the consumer to navigate.
The broader point is- there are a number of FREE MARKET REFORMS that will genuinely improve the quality of care, improve the affordability, increase the options available to consumers, and NOT limit innovation, without turning this over to the federal government.
You're right, the authors of the bill did not include a provision in BOLD FACE, RED PRINT saying that the system is being designed to shift the country to single payer system. Of course not, they wouldn't be that honest.AGAIN, there are no provisions in the proposed bills that will kill the private insurance sector.
See this thread:Then get your representatives busy pushing for these and get them into the bill instead of spouting nonsensical lies like "death panels" and "pulling the plug on grandma".
Because the insurance industry is highly regulated and there's a lot of government intervention. For example, you can't have 50 state competition due to regulation. Tax policy is involved. Tort reform is involved. And mandated coverage is involved too.We're all ears. How would you propose incentivizing the private industry to implement these "free market reforms"?? If these "free market reforms" are so great, WHY HASN'T THE PRIVATE INDUSTRY IMPLEMENTED THEM ON THEIR OWN??
You're right, the authors of the bill did not include a provision in BOLD FACE, RED PRINT saying that the system is being designed to shift the country to single payer system. Of course not, they wouldn't be that honest.
Do you sincerely believe that this legislation was not written with the intention of gradually shifting the U.S. to a single payer system?
And more importantly, do you support the idea of implementing a single payer system in this country?
Before we go any further, let's clear that up.
See this thread:
http://www.lincolnvscadillac.com/showthread.php?t=49235
The Pelosi rules in the congress make that virtually impossible.
But you're right, some members (from either or both parties) NEED to at least write the frame work for some free-market reform and release it to the media and the internet.
And no one is going to pull the plug on grandma, they simply won't plug her in.
Because the insurance industry is highly regulated and there's a lot of government intervention. For example, you can't have 50 state competition due to regulation. Tax policy is involved. Tort reform is involved. And mandated coverage is involved too.
It's tiresome to hear big government types constantly blame the market places for coming up with less than perfect solutions in response to BAD REGULATION.
The major problem with health care is associated with the rising costs.
The rising costs are due in large part to the government involvement in the system, lawsuits, and the over utilization of insurance, largely due to the tax structure, which drastically skews all the s&d curves.
JohnnyBz said:
JohnnyBz said:I’m not advocating single payer system either, it smacks of monopoly. But I’m not believing the fear-mongers that a “private option” will get phased out as you claim.
JohnnyBz said:If the final bill provided a public option while guaranteeing private insurance can’t get “phased out” over time like you claim it will, would you accept having a public option?
JohnnyBz said:While you have a point on increased hurdles for the minority party, seems like these new rules were put into place to prevent abuse and probably would not have been required had the GOP not exploited this MTR with their shenanigans in the past:
http://www.majorityleader.gov/docUpl...heet010509.pdf
And this certainly won’t PREVENT the GOP from making constructive contributions to the process. So your excuse is weak. But again, we are further digressing from the topic.
JohnnyBz said:You just can’t seem to connect the dots.
As I’ve shown above, Health insurance PROFITS for the 10 largest insurers averaged an increase of 428% from ’00 to ’07.
As I’ve shown above, insurance PREMIMUMS increased 120% over approximately the same timeframe from ’99 to ’07.
Meanwhile, Heath care EXPENDATURES by private insurance increased only 59% over the same time period (’00-’07).
http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealt...ads/tables.pdf